Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000230 0.000258 0.000287 0.000320 0.000357 0.000397 0.000444
2025-05-25 0.000190 0.000227 0.000268 0.000319 0.000379 0.000447 0.000531
2025-06-01 0.000159 0.000201 0.000250 0.000313 0.000392 0.000487 0.000610
2025-06-08 0.000137 0.000181 0.000237 0.000311 0.000408 0.000529 0.000694
2025-06-15 0.000121 0.000167 0.000227 0.000311 0.000425 0.000575 0.000785
2025-06-22 0.000106 0.000153 0.000216 0.000308 0.000437 0.000613 0.000868
2025-06-29 0.000097 0.000145 0.000212 0.000313 0.000460 0.000665 0.000975
2025-07-06 0.000088 0.000137 0.000207 0.000315 0.000477 0.000712 0.001076
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000127 0.000199 0.000312 0.000487 0.000748 0.001164
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000124 0.000198 0.000320 0.000514 0.000810 0.001294
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000118 0.000194 0.000322 0.000531 0.000858 0.001407
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000113 0.000190 0.000324 0.000548 0.000906 0.001522
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000106 0.000183 0.000321 0.000556 0.000943 0.001623
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000101 0.000180 0.000324 0.000576 0.000999 0.001761
2025-08-24 0.000051 0.000096 0.000174 0.000321 0.000584 0.001037 0.001871
2025-08-31 0.000047 0.000091 0.000170 0.000320 0.000596 0.001081 0.001995
2025-09-07 0.000044 0.000087 0.000166 0.000320 0.000611 0.001133 0.002134
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000082 0.000161 0.000318 0.000620 0.001172 0.002255
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000080 0.000160 0.000323 0.000643 0.001240 0.002432
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000077 0.000158 0.000325 0.000660 0.001297 0.002594
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000074 0.000153 0.000322 0.000667 0.001337 0.002724
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000073 0.000154 0.000331 0.000698 0.001422 0.002950
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000070 0.000152 0.000333 0.000716 0.001485 0.003134